BJP set to keep Gujarat, but Cong tally may be up

Posted December 16, 2017

All exit polls predict a comfortable victory for the BJP in Gujarat.

The Times Now-VMR survey gave the saffron party 109 seats in the 182-member assembly as against 70 to the Congress, while another exit poll by Republic TV-C-Voter predicted the ruling party walking away with 108 seats leaving only 74 for the Congress. Leaders of both Congress and Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) have asserted that their respective parties will win the elections. The Times Now-VMR poll gave 16 seats to the Congress and a seat to other contenders. The final results will be out on December 18.

Union Minister Dharmendra Pradhan on Friday mocked the Congress party and said that the latter should not react so soon over exit polls as it is yet to experience a major shock after final results are declared, reports ANI.

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Since the opinion polls of October this year, when India Today-Axis My India polls gave the Congress only 65 seats in Gujarat, the equations have certainly changed but not enough as per the exit polls.

Punters on Gujarat polls have predicted 100-103 seats for the BJP in its sixth consecutive victory in the state, while they tip Congress to gain 78-100 seats.

After Bihar elections in 2015, except one, all exit polls indicated a clear win for BJP. While BJP is winning 19 seats in Kangra and 15 in Mandi, Congress is trailing behind with 5 and 9 seats in the respective areas. While the Hindus in the state voted for the saffron party, the Muslims have shown their support for Congress by giving the party majority of the votes. According to ABP-CSDS survey, the BJP will win in south Gujarat with 21-27 seats and the Congress will get 9-13 seats. There were 851candidates in the fray and around 2.23 crore voters. However, skepticism pervades in the betting market as their in-depth analysis during the Uttar Pradesh Assembly election 2017 went awry after BJP had a clean sweep. In Ahmedabad, which accounts for 21 of the 93 seats, the approximate voter turnout was 66%, significantly lower than at-least half a dozen districts, and over three percent lower than the overall polling.