Tracking the Tropics: Leslie joins Kirk in the tropics

Posted September 27, 2018

It is now about 425 miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands with sustained winds of 40 mph, and is moving west-northwest at 16 mph.

The Tropical storm Kirk is the 11th storm so far and Leslie is expected to merge with a non-tropical low in the next couple of days.

Proving that conditions in the tropics can change literally overnight, Tropical Storm Kirk, once a promising storm racing across the Atlantic, has dissipated as of Monday morning.

Subtropical Storm Leslie, located in the north-central Atlantic, posed no threat to the Caribbean and no immediate threat to land. Still almost 3,000 miles away from the First Coast and US, it will continue to fluctuate in strength and size over the next few days as it approaches the Lesser Antilles & Caribbean by Friday.

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A third disturbance is a few hundred miles southeast of the Carolinas, moving west to northwest. We will have a 40 percent chance for some showers and storms throughout the day. Kirk has sustained winds of 35 miles per hour (55 kph).

"This strong wind shear is expected to rip Kirk apart, possibly to the point of degenerating it into a tropical wave by the time it reaches the Windward Islands late Thursday or Friday", the Weather Channel said. The flooding is expected to start Tuesday near parts of the Pee Dee and Waccamaw rivers. Wind gusts in the area may be considerably higher. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a 20% chance of development over the next 2 days, but a 40% chance of development over the next 5 days.

It'll continue to maintain its strength as it just wanders in the Atlantic over the course of the next several days. It left at least 43 people dead across North Carolina, South Carolina and Virginia.

That system was forecast Monday at a 50 percent chance of development over the following two to five days.

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